Friday, December 5, 2008

The Printing Begins (at least out in the open)

This is what happens when you're all out of bullets at the Fed. With interest rates now effectively zero, they still feel that they're obligated to "do something." Of course doing "something" pretty much is what brought us to where we are!

Now the cat's out of the bag in regards to printing. Bernanke talked about it in 2002:
"Another option would be for the Fed to use its existing authority to operate in the markets for agency debt..."

And here it is:

http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/pomo/display/index.cfm

And here it is on Bloomberg:
Fed Buys $5 Billion of Fannie, Freddie, FHLB Debt(Update2)

By Jody Shenn

Dec. 5 (Bloomberg) -- The Federal Reserve bought $5 billion of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Federal Home Loan Bank corporate debt under a new program aimed at reducing mortgage costs.

The central bank acquired bonds with maturities between December 2009 and November 2010, according to the New York Fed’s Web site. Dealers offered $12.9 billion of the securities. The purchases under the $100 billion program are the Fed’s first buying of long-term “agency” debt in 28 years.

Asset buying by the Fed represents “step three” in the U.S. government’s efforts to fix the financial system and curb a yearlong recession, following provisions of loans and capital to banks, George Goncalves, the chief Treasury and agency strategist with Morgan Stanley, wrote in a note to clients today.

“Moving to actually purchasing assets and not just funding them -- this as we have been saying is the quantum leap that will work off the liquidity programs in place,” Goncalves said. New York-based Morgan Stanley is one of 17 primary dealers that trade with the central bank.

Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke finds it “encouraging” that his plan announced last week to buy $100 billion of so-called agency debt and $500 billion of agency mortgage bonds has already spurred a drop in loan rates, he said Dec. 1. The government has sought lower rates as a way to stabilize the housing market.

Fed purchases of agency securities and possibly also long- term Treasuries may “influence the yield on these securities, thus helping to spur aggregate demand,” Bernanke said in a speech in Austin, Texas.

Mortgage Rates

The average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate loan dropped to 5.47 percent last week, the lowest level since June 2005, from 5.99 percent the prior week, according to a Mortgage Bankers Association survey released Dec. 3.

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson is considering using purchases of home-loan securities to force loan rates as low as 4.5 percent, a government official said on condition of anonymity this week. His department in September began buying agency mortgage bonds, though not agency corporate debt; the Fed in September bought agency debt maturing in less than one year amid a run on money-market funds.

Agency debt is primarily the borrowings of government- sponsored enterprises including Fannie, Freddie and the home loan banks, as well as U.S. agencies including the Tennessee Valley Authority and Ginnie Mae. The debt carries either an implied or explicit government backing that typically allows the institutions to borrow at lower yields relative to other bonds.

Philosophical Shift

Bernanke’s steering of the Fed into long-term agency debt and mortgage securities follows a retreat by foreign central banks. Those holdings have shrunk by about $116 billion from a July record to $868 billion amid concern that the U.S. support for Fannie and Freddie may not be durable enough and because of sales to support weakening currencies, according to Fed data.

The only previous period in which the Fed bought agency debt was between September 1971 and April 1980 amid pressure from Congress that ended after the election of President Ronald Reagan ushered in a “philosophical shift in the role of government,” according to Skillman, New Jersey-based Stone & McCarthy Research Associates. The Fed, which also accepts agency debt as collateral for loans and in operations to temporarily drain liquidity from financial markets, remained an owner through 2003.

I note that the bond market front ran this and that gold did not jump on the news of this happening today. The amount was small, but again, this is their first public declaration. There are ramifications all over the globe due to this. I'll have more on this story later.